Global Mobility research prepared by Deep Knowledge Analytics in collaboration with Henley & Partners, the global leader in residence and citizenship by investment, is a unique publication featuring commentary and insights on major trends influencing mobility patterns. Grounded in geopolitical analysis and focusing on the unprecedented global challenges and risks shaping our world — climate change, conflict and political upheaval, technological disruption, economic crises, and demographic imbalances — this report offers exclusive insights into what we can expect in the months to come.
Pandemic-Resilient Cities Ranking 2022 by Deep Knowledge Analytics
Many countries implemented a number of nonpharmaceutical interventions to control the spread of the virus; however, recent evidence suggest that given devastating costs of lockdowns, there was no negative correlation between the degree of lockdown measures and COVID-19 fatality. Currently governments are lifting restrictions based on the fact that vaccines provide good level of protection from the virus. When treated as an endemic, COVID-19 will no longer be a health emergency, so restrictions may no longer be mandatory, which will allow health officials to contain the diseases with less disruptions and costs for the public.
The Henley Passport Index versus the Global Peace Index
Comparing the latest results of the Henley Passport Index with the Global Peace Index 2022 reveals a strong correlation between a nation’s passport power and its peacefulness. This unique research confirms that your citizenship, and therefore your passport, are of great consequence in terms of navigating geopolitical turmoil and mitigating the associated risks.
It’s an understatement to say that we are living through a particularly turbulent time worldwide, with the pandemic still casting a long shadow and newer developments such as war, inflation, political instability and incidents of violence increasingly dominating the headlines. In this context, a passport is more than ever a calling card, which, depending on which passport you carry and where you are going, will have an impact on the kind of welcome you will receive, where you can go, and how safe you will be when you get there. Now more than ever, it’s a mistake to think of a passport as merely a travel document that allows you to get from A to B. The relative strength or weakness of a particular national passport directly affects the quality of life for the passport holder and may even be a matter of life and death in some circumstances.
Tourism decline during prepandemic and recent years (2019-2021)
The global mobility gap is at its widest point ever and continues to expand due to proliferating barriers to entry erected since the outbreak of the pandemic. Many countries in the global south have relaxed their borders in a concerted effort to revive their economies but there has been very little reciprocity from countries in the global north, which have enforced some of the most stringent inbound Covid-19-related travel restrictions. Even fully vaccinated travelers from countries at the lower end of the Henley Passport Index remain locked out of most of the developed world.
Against this backdrop of ongoing uncertainty, high-net-worth investors and entrepreneurs, including those from advanced economies with premium passports, are looking to create portfolios of complementary citizenship and residence options through investment migration programs, to access health security and optionality in terms of where they and their families can comfortably live, conduct business, study, and invest.
Tourism flow change comparing 2019 versus 2021 on the World Map
Tourism contibution projection up to 2024
There are signs of life for international travel as restrictions in the global north begin to be eased for the fully vaccinated from certain countries. Yet the rest of the world faces a different reality and will continue to do so until there is greater access to effective vaccines. However, tourism will slowly recover, but the pre-pandemic level of tourism will be reached no faster than in 5 years.
Conclusion
In addition to Covid-19, repeated economic crises, pressing climate change, political instability, and economic volatility are global issues compelling vast numbers of people to relocate in search of a better quality of life, stability, and security. Alternative residence and citizenship options are essential for international entrepreneurs and investors to mitigate volatility and reduce exposure to risk at a national, regional, and global level.
While the challenges the developed world still faces are significant, they pale in comparison to the obstacles faced by developing nations, where multiple pandemic-related barriers to movement seem likely to linger even as many of them reopen their borders in a bid to revive travel and tourism and reboot economic growth.
About Us
Deep Knowledge Analytics is a DeepTech focused agency producing advanced analytics on DeepTech and frontier-technology industries using sophisticated multi-dimensional frameworks and algorithmic methods that combine hundreds of specially-designed and specifically-weighted metrics and parameters to deliver insightful market intelligence, pragmatic forecasting and tangible industry benchmarking.
It is an analytical subsidiary of Deep Knowledge Group, an international consortium of commercial and non-profit organizations focused on the synergetic convergence of DeepTech and Frontier Technologies (AI, Longevity, MedTech, FinTech, GovTech), applying progressive data-driven Invest-Tech solutions with a long-term strategic focus on AI in Healthcare, Longevity and Precision Health, and aiming to achieve positive impact through the support of progressive technologies for the benefit of humanity via scientific research, investment, entrepreneurship, analytics and philanthropy.
Henley & Partners is the global leader in residence and citizenship by investment. Each year, hundreds of wealthy individuals and their advisors rely on our expertise and experience in this area. Our highly qualified professionals work together as one team in over 35 offices worldwide.
The concept of residence and citizenship planning was created by Henley & Partners in the 1990s. As globalization has expanded, residence and citizenship have become topics of significant interest among the increasing number of internationally mobile entrepreneurs and investors whom we proudly serve every day.
Trusted by governments, the firm also runs a leading government advisory practice that has raised more than USD 10 billion in foreign direct investment. We have been involved in strategic consulting and the design, set-up, and operation of the world’s most successful residence and citizenship programs.
Methodology
This collaboration between DKA and Henley & Partners features 163 countries. We have drawn on two sets of data to compare each country’s visa-free or visa-on-arrival score with its peacefulness: Henley & Partners’ Henley Passport Index and the Institute for Economics & Peace’s Global Peace Index 2022. The Henley Passport Index is the original, authoritative ranking of all the world’s passports according to the number of destinations their holders can access without a prior visa and is based on exclusive data from the International Air Transport Association (IATA). The Global Peace Index, the world’s leading measure of global peacefulness, evaluates the state of peace across three spheres: societal safety and security, ongoing conflict (domestic and international), and the extent of militarization. The data posted here is freely accessible for private non-commercial use only.
Disclaimer
All data are used in the represented materials on a lawful basis to carry out a computational analysis for a non-commercial research according to the article 29A of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988 with amendments.
